View Full Version : Two of baseball's best pitchers will be on display Monday

04-15-2019, 08:43 AM
New York Yankees (74-43) host the New York Mets (49-66) as solid home favorites at the sportsbooks.Despite posting a losing record http://www.philliesfanproshop.com/authentic-pat-neshek-jersey (http://www.philliesfanproshop.com/authentic-darren-daulton-jersey) , Jacob deGrom (6-7, 1.77 ERA) has been great for the Mets this year, and he is in better form than American League wins leader Luis Severino (15-5, 3.11 ERA) for the Yankees. MLB betting line: The Yankees opened as -200 favorites (wager $200 to win $100); the total is at seven runs, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)MLB betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 3.0-2.3, Mets (MLB picks on every game)Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week's top sports betting news. Why the Mets can pay on the MLB linesOne word: deGrom. The 30-year-old righty has the lowest ERA in baseball, and he is coming off an outstanding performance against the Cincinnati Reds last time out on Wednesday. The 30-year-old pitched six scoreless innings in an 8-0 victory, walking one batter and striking out 10 to end a personal three-game losing streak.During that skid, he also gave up three runs or less in each of the three starts with three walks and 24 strikeouts. The problem is, the Mets totaled just three runs combined in those games.Why the Yankees can pay on the MLB linesOffensively, the Yankees are obviously the superior team, and that helped Severino break a three-game losing streak of his own in his last outing. David Banks/Associated PressThe 24-year-old Dominican gave up three runs and seven hits in seven innings of a 7-3 win on Wednesday after seeing his team get outscored 21-12 in his previous three starts combined.Before his skid Maikel Franco Jersey (http://www.philliesfanproshop.com/authentic-maikel-franco-jersey) , the Yankees had won six straight times with him toeing the rubber along with 16 of 17. Severino was 12-1 in those 17 games, with the Yankees winning 12 of them by two runs or more to cover the runline at a 71 percent clip. Smart betting pickThe Mets have won two of the past three meetings with the Yankees after a six-game series losing streak, according to the OddsShark MLB Database. In other words, they have a chance here, especially with deGrom on the mound.Severino has seen his ERA rise more than a run from 1.98 on July 1, which is concerning for the Yankees down the stretch. Take the underdog value on the Mets with deGrom in this spot. MLB betting trendsThe Mets are 4-2 in their last six games.The total has gone over in six of the Yankees' last eight games at home against the Mets.The Mets are 2-7 in their last nine games against the Yankees. All MLB odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report's official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app. The Milwaukee Brewers are in trouble.The National League Central champion heads to Dodger Stadium tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLCS.Few things have gone to plan for Craig Counsell's team, as its dominant bullpen has been rattled by a confident Dodgers lineup.Los Angeles sits in perfect position to take control of the series in Game 3 on Monday, and if it gets on a roll at home, it could finish off the series inside Dodger Stadium by Wednesday. NLCS ScheduleAll Times ET.Game 3:Monday October 15 at Los Angeles (7:39 p.m., FS1)Game 4:Tuesday, October 16 at Los Angeles (9:09 p.m., FS1)Game 5:Wednesday, October 17 at Los Angeles (5:05 p.m. http://www.philliesfanproshop.com/authentic-pat-neshek-jersey (http://www.philliesfanproshop.com/authentic-tim-mccarver-jersey) , FS1)Game 6:Friday, October 19 at Milwaukee (8:39 p.m., FS1)*Game 7:Saturday, October 20 at Milwaukee (9:09 p.m., FS1)**If necessary.OddsGame 3Milwaukee (+140; bet $100 to win $140)Los Angeles (-165; bet $165 to win $100)According toOddsShark. PredictionsMilwaukee's Bullpen Continues to StruggleEight of the nine runs the Brewers have let up in the NLCS have been conceded by the bullpen.Of the octet of relievers Milwaukee has trotted out to the mound, six have given up at least one hit, with Brandon Woodruff and Junior Guerra the only pitchers with unblemished lines.Counsell blew up his normal bullpen strategy in Game 1, as he let Josh Hader deal for three innings, making him unavailable for Game 2.In the loss to the Dodgers on Saturday, Jeremy Jeffress conceded a game-winning two-run homer to Justin Turner in the eighth inning.Dylan Buell/Getty ImagesAlthough he wasn't charged with the second Dodgers' run, Jeffress allowed the score, as he walked Austin Barnes with the bases loaded after coming in for Corbin Burnes.The majority of the Dodgers lineup has been challenged with the best stuff from each of Milwaukee's top relievers through two games.There's an extended book on Hader going into Game 3 because he went through the entire order during his Game 1 appearance.The change of scenery and day off鈥攐r in Hader's case, two days off鈥攃ould help the Brewers refocus and put Games 1 and 2 behind them.But given the success the Dodgers have had in the latter innings in the NLCS, it will be hard for the Brewers to regain their commanding bullpen form moving forward. Turner's Game 2 Home Run Gives Dodgers Lineup an Extra SparkLos Angeles' lineup lacked a contribution from Turner in Game 1 Pete Rose Jersey (http://www.philliesfanproshop.com/authentic-pete-rose-jersey) , as he went 0-for-5 and struck out on four occasions.In Game 2, Turner produced two hits, including the game-winning two-run shot off Jeffress in the eighth inning.Jeff Roberson/Associated PressWith the home run acting as a catalyst for Turner's NLCS performance, the Dodgers should be able to put plenty of runners on base for their power hitters in the three upcoming home games.Leadoff man Chris Taylor leads the Dodgers with five hits in the NLCS, while cleanup hitter Manny Machado has three hits and has driven in a team-high three runs.With Taylor and Turner thriving at the top of the lineup, the Dodgers could put a few runs across the plate early in Game 3, which would force the Brewers to stretch out their bullpen even further.In addition to Taylor and Turner'sspark at the top of the order, Los Angeles could unleash Max Muncy in Game 3 after he started the first two games on the bench in favor of David Freese.If Muncy and Machado come to the plate with runners in scoring position on multiple occasions, the Dodgers have an opportunity to run away with the series. Series Prediction:Los Angeles in six.Follow Joe on Twitter, JTansey90.